Chronicles of a Pro Bettor: Chiefs to Power Through

NFL Weekly Picks and Totals Are on the Up!

After a slow start to the NFL weekly picks, it was a relief to have a third winning week in a row for readers and get back on an even keel.

The much-discussed trend of this column of total points increasing in games as the week progresses is trending nicely, widening the gap between the franchises in the ascendancy and the rest.

Trust L.A. To Charge to the Points

As mentioned, total points are trending up and a super obvious spot to jump in at is with the L.A. Chargers, who have Justin Herbert getting back to his best at quarterback. Don’t be fooled by last week’s box score of 23-16 over the Denver Broncos, after the Chargers took their foot off the pedals in the final quarter when leading 23-0.

Unsurprisingly, with the Chargers’ opponents being the hapless Arizona Cardinals, the total is already heading up and currently sits at 43.5.

The Cardinals’ defense looks badly flawed and prone to conceding points, which looks like a real issue in the desert. For our Over bet, that is perfect along with their weaponry of Kyler Murray at the quarterback position guaranteeing their own scoring ability and a huge help to the points going over. Indeed, their matches have only gone below 45 once all season.

Anything below that key number of 45 is the perfect play for the overs bet.

NFL Week 7 Pick

• Chargers/Cardinals Over 43.5 (-115) at BetOnline

Keep the Contrarian Style in Betting

As we discussed last week, going against the crowd is something a pro bettor must do to stand alone and make profits. After all, online sportsbooks don’t like winners, and being contrary to the masses is one of the keys.

The Saints Were Close to the Pick Before Injury Woes

The first bet considered this week was the New Orleans Saints at the Super Dome against the visiting Denver Broncos who, as mentioned above, were flattered by their box score loss to the L.A. Chargers. Sadly, the injury news coming out of the Saints looks very bleak, with barely a fit wide receiver left to catch the throws from rookie quarterback Spencer Rattler.

Let’s Rely on the Very Best

The Kansas City Chiefs traveling to the West Coast for the San Francisco 49ers is the match that we are going to support with the underdog of the Kansas City Chiefs seemingly unpopular among NFL bettors. But what more can a pro bettor want, than the best team in football onside as the selection?

This matchup is a repeat of the Super Bowl at the start of the year when the Chiefs chinned the same opponents in overtime. Despite the respect the San Francisco 49ers rightly garner, they are only a 50% side so far this season and have plenty to prove.

It’s never good news when you have Patrick Mahomes, the generational talent of all the modern quarterbacks, visiting your zip code. Interestingly, the 49ers are yet to get the better of the star QB. Despite the precarious nature of Mahomes’ occupation, he is the master of just doing enough to win football matches.

It must be believed that the long-term loss of running back Isiah Pacheco and wide receiver Rashee Rice may be influencing the firms and bettors that the Chiefs will get beat at Levi’s Stadium. That’s risky to me at minus money as favorites. After all, there is no better man at managing his team’s injuries than head coach Andy Reid who, along with Mahomes, has that knack of just doing enough.

To balance the injury worries, the San Francisco 49ers are not without their own problems with running back Jordan Mason and cornerback Charvarius Ward at the top of their increasing list of concerning ailments on the West Coast.

Seeing plus money across the board of the top-rated sportsbooks is enough for me to bet the Kansas City Chiefs to beat the San Francisco 49ers at plus money.

Pro Bettor Pick

• Kansas City Chiefs ML (+100) at Bovada