Table of Contents
On January 7, 2024, the 81st Golden Globe Awards will honor the best in film and television from the past year at the annual award ceremony hosted by Jo Koy.
Unlike the Oscars (movies only) and Emmys (TV only), the Golden Globes have categories for both forms of entertainment, so the number of awards handed out is extensive.
But that does not mean you won’t find online betting markets for a variety of Golden Globe awards. We searched through top-rated sportsbooks like Bovada (visit our Bovada Review to learn more) and BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review to learn more) to find our favorite bets for the 2024 Golden Globes.
Does 2023 Belong to Oppenheimer?
2023 may be remembered best in the film world for the months-long strikes for both writers and actors as the industry grappled with streaming residuals and the growth of AI.
But the year in film also was a success, with biopics bringing some incredible true stories to life by some of the best directors in the world. While no film received more nominations than Barbie (9), Christopher Nolan’s Oppenheimer (8) was right behind it and Martin Scorsese’s Killers of the Flower Moon also received 7 nominations.
Another biopic with strong award buzz is Bradley Cooper’s Maestro, his dedicated work covering the life of composer Leonard Bernstein.
With so much stiff competition, it will be fun to see which biopic prevails. But with the way award shows often see one film clean up the major awards over the field, we think Oppenheimer is going to be that movie at the 81st Golden Globe Awards.
- Christopher Nolan is a heavy favorite for Best Director after his brilliant job of telling the story of J. Robert Oppenheimer, the father of the atomic bomb.
- In playing the titular character of Oppenheimer, Cillian Murphy (+100 at BetOnline) is a close favorite behind only Cooper (-150) as Bernstein for Best Actor in a Drama.
- In the Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture category, Robert Downey Jr. (-175 at Bovada) is still the favorite from Oppenheimer, beating out a strong field that includes Ryan Gosling as Ken in Barbie and Robert De Niro’s stirring performance in Killers of the Flower Moon.
- Oppenheimer (-400 at BetOnline) is holding steady as the favorite for Best Motion Picture (Drama) over Killers of the Flower Moon (+350) and Maestro (+1400).
The release of “Barbenheimer” was the movie event of the year, but Oppenheimer on its own has been the most critically acclaimed film of the year, it made people want to spend 3 hours in a theater watching a great cast tell the historic story of something important, and it is another technological achievement for Nolan.
That is why we think Oppenheimer is going to clean up with the top awards, including Best Drama Motion Picture and Best Director for Nolan. But Downey Jr. should also take home the award for Best Supporting Actor, and in a minor upset at Best Actor, we are going with Cillian Murphy to beat out Bradley Cooper.
Just one writer’s view, but Carey Mulligan did a lot to steal the show in Maestro. Cooper did a great job and obviously had his fingerprints over everything as director, writer, and producer, but just for a pure acting award, Oppenheimer was a career tour de force from Murphy, and he deserves the win.
We have Oppenheimer cleaning up with these 4 awards:
Pick: Best Director, Motion Picture – Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer (-400) at BetOnline
Pick: Best Supporting Actor, Motion Picture – Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer (-175) at Bovada
Pick: Best Supporting Actor, Motion Picture – Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer (-175) at Bovada
Pick: Best Male Actor, Motion Picture Drama – Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer (+100) at BetOnline
Will Succession Wipe the Floor with the TV Awards?
No TV series received more Golden Globe nominations than the 9 for HBO’s Succession, which concluded its run with a brilliant final season that was arguably the peak of the series.
It is no surprise that Succession is favored to win the Golden Globe for Best Drama Series, but what about the acting awards? That is where things get a bit tricky as the male leads were so strong in Season 4 that they will likely take votes away from each other, and of course, Brian Cox only appeared in a small number of episodes as Logan Roy in the final season for reasons that are very obvious even if you haven’t seen the show.
Choosing between Kieran Culkin as Roman and Jeremy Strong as Kendall is so difficult that it actually does make more sense to go with Pedro Pascal in The Last of Us, his excellent performance in a show that was really carried by the 2 leads with Pascal and Bella Ramsey. Pascal is the odds-on favorite at BetOnline and he is our pick for this particular award.
Pick: Best Television Male Actor, Drama – Pedro Pascal, The Last of Us (-150) at BetOnline
While it was hard to separate the performances of the Roy men in Season 4 of Succession, there was no denying the power couple who really lifted the show: Sarah Snook and Matthew Macfadyen, otherwise known as Shiv and Tom.
Their performances screamed awards, yet you might be surprised to know they are both looking up at another contender in the odds at BetOnline.
In the Best Supporting Actor in TV category, Macfadyen (+100 at BetOnline) is behind James Marsden (-200), who played a fictionalized version of himself in Jury Duty, a surprise hit. Marsden’s performance was certainly fun, but Macfadyen was iconic and pivotal to the way Succession ended. It’s time we give Tom the credit he is due and give him this award.
Pick: Best Supporting Male Actor, Television – Matthew Macfadyen, Succession (+100) at BetOnline
In the Best Television Female Actor in a Drama, Snook’s best job yet as Shiv Roy (+115 at BetOnline) is trailing Keri Russell in Netflix’s The Diplomat (-200). Look, Russell did a very fine job in a show with an intriguing blend of comedy amid serious political plotting, but she was not on Snook’s level. Snook has also won a Golden Globe in the past for Shiv, and she was never better than in Season 4. It’s the last time to honor her character, so let’s do that.
Pick: Best Television Female Actor, Drama – Sarah Snook, Succession (+115) at BetOnline
Best Female Actors Categories
With the way the Golden Globes breaks up award categories between Dramas and Musical/Comedies, it gives certain female actors an advantage they wouldn’t get in other award shows that lump everything together.
For example, Emma Stone’s praiseworthy performance in Poor Things may find her in a struggle come Oscars time when she has to go up against Carey Mulligan (Maestro) and Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon). But when it comes to the Golden Globes, Stone should run away with the award for Best Actress in a Musical or Comedy Movie.
Pick: Best Female Actor, Motion Picture Musical or Comedy – Emma Stone, Poor Things (-250) at BetOnline
With the Golden Globes airing in January and the impact of the strike, viewers have been able to enjoy 2 full seasons of The Bear. But other award shows such as the delayed Emmys are nominating The Bear for its 1st season, which aired in 2022. The 2nd season was even better than the 1st, and it would be hard for that to not weigh on voters’ minds.
Having said that, we think there is close to a lock for Best Female Actor in a Comedy or Musical series with Ayo Edebiri in The Bear. She does a great job of bringing calm to a chaotic series and was at her best in Season 2.
Pick: Best Television Female Actor, Musical/Comedy Series – Ayo Edebiri, The Bear (-125) at BetOnline
There is really a 2-woman race for Best Supporting Actress in Television this year between Elizabeth Debicki of The Crown (-135) and Meryl Streep of Only Murders in the Building (+100).
Debicki had the difficult task of playing the beloved Princess Diana, including the seasons where her marriage to then Prince Charles fell apart and when she met her untimely death in a car accident. It was a gut-wrenching watch in the final season as you knew what fate lied ahead for Diana, who they did such a great job of making Debicki look like.
Personally, Meryl Streep has always been a bit overrated to me, and despite all her praise and accolades, she doesn’t win awards nearly as often as she’s nominated for them. We like the odds that favor Debicki by a slight margin here and she should take it home for a role we may never see someone pull off again with such elegance.
Pick: Best Supporting Female Actor, Television – Elizabeth Debicki, The Crown (-135) at BetOnline
For our final award, we are looking at the 2-woman race for Best Actress in a Drama between Carey Mulligan (Maestro) and Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon). This could be the Oscar race as well with Emma Stone thrown into the mix in a strong category this year.
The Golden Globes and Oscars do not always vote in unison as different people are involved in the processes. For example, Frances McDormand (Nomadland) and Jessica Chastain (The Eyes of Tammy Faye) won recent Oscars for Best Actress while the Golden Globes went with, dare we say the lesser choices, in Andra Day (The United States vs. Billie Holiday) and Nicole Kidman (Being the Ricardos).
Seeing Mulligan and Gladstone each win a prestigious award would be a nice compromise. It seems like the Golden Globes may be more partial to Mulligan given the leading odds for Cooper in Maestro, and the fact that she’s been nominated twice before for An Education and Promising Young Woman and did not win. Maybe the 3rd time is the charm, and as we said earlier, she arguably was the best part of Maestro as she played Bernstein’s wife, who died young from lung cancer.
Gladstone is more of a newcomer, and her well-received portrayal of a Native American woman could be something that plays bigger at the Oscars. We already denied Cooper the award for Best Actor, so we are going to hedge our bets on Maestro and take Mulligan to win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Drama.
Pick: Best Female Actor, Motion Picture Drama – Carey Mulligan, Maestro (+210) at BetOnline