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How to bet the Writers Guild of America Awards?

by Scott Kacsmar
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Writers Guild of America Awards

If you thought we were done with award shows for 2024, think again. Let’s not forget about the Writers Guild of America Awards, an annual award ceremony to honor the previous year’s best in writing for film, television, news and radio.

The 2024 Writers Guild of America Awards will take place on Sunday, April 14. There will be many awards handed out that night, and a top-rated sportsbook like BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review to learn more) has 4 betting markets available for it.

We look at those markets and how the award show may play out. It usually is not this late in the year, but the long writer’s strike of 2023 likely postponed things this year.


Film – best adapted screenplay

The nominees for the film with the best adapted screenplay include:

  • American Fiction by Cord Jefferson (-1000)
  • Oppenheimer by Christopher Nolan (+700)
  • Killers of the Flower Moon by Eli Roth & Martin Scorsese (+1200)
  • Nyad by Julia Cox (+1200)
  • Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret by KF Craig (+1400)

Well, this one seems like a lock. We get a bit of a cheat code this year with the other award shows already happening, including the Oscars where Cord Jefferson won for American Fiction in his film debut.

It is a great screenplay, though the ending is controversially done and the weakest part of the film. In fact, it’s such a bold move that it’s surprising the movie still won this award as you can argue the ending was a total cop-out.

The only real competition here is Oppenheimer, but we have already seen American Fiction win the screenplay award at the Oscars, BAFTA, Spirit and Satellite awards to name a few.

You can add the WGA Awards to its list of wins.

Pick: Best Adapted Screenplay – American Fiction by Cord Jefferson (-1000) at BetOnline


Film – best original screenplay

The nominees for the film with the best original screenplay include:

  • The Holdovers by David Hemingson (+150)
  • Past Lives by Celine Song (+240)
  • Barbie by Greta Gerwig & Noah Baumbach (+300)
  • May December by Samy Burch & Alex Mechanik (+400)
  • Air by Alex Convery (+800)

This is the most interesting category even if it should be a 2-horse race between The Holdovers and Past Lives. There is a little controversy with this one as The Holdovers was accused in a complaint to the WGA of plagiarism from another project. But the complaint looks very silly on the surface and is unlikely to go anywhere.

Still, could that open the door for Past Lives, the great debut by Korean filmmaker Celine Song about a lost opportunity at romance? Both of these films lost to Anatomy of a Fall at the Oscars, but that foreign film is not in this category.

However, we have seen strong praise for the writing in The Holdovers, and director Alexander Payne has already seen the WGA select 3 of his movies for screenplay awards over the years. He didn’t get the writing credit for this one, but we think his film gets the award here.

Pick: Best Original Screenplay – The Holdovers by David Hemingson (+150) at BetOnline


Film – best documentary screenplay

The nominees for the documentary with the best screenplay include:

  • The Pigeon Tunnel by Errol Morris (-500)
  • Stamped from the Beginning by David Teague (+700)
  • Bella! by Jeff L. Lieberman (+850)
  • What Happened to Blood, Sweet Tears by J. Scheinfeld (+900)
  • It Ain’t Over by Sean Mullin (+950)

We have another heavy favorite here with Errol Morris, one of the most famous documentary filmmakers ever, for his profile of spy book author John le Carré (The Spy Who Came in from the Cold).

Distributed by Apple TV+, it has been a well-received documentary with 96% positive reviews on Rotten Tomatoes.

It wasn’t the strongest year for documentary films, so we’ll go with the favorite from the acclaimed Morris.

Pick: Best Documentary Screenplay – The Pigeon Tunnel by Errol Morris (-500) at BetOnline


Television – best new series

The nominees for Best New Series in television include:

  • The Last of Us (+100)
  • Jury Duty (+250)
  • The Diplomat (+400)
  • Poker Face (+600)
  • Shrinking (+700)

All quality new series worth watching, but the odds are very accurate to the quality of the shows. Jury Duty was a very unique and original idea about putting a regular guy around a group of trained actors, including James Marsden playing a fictional version of himself, and going to jury duty with a ton of hidden cameras feeling the scripted events.

Still, for as good as that was, The Last of Us has been HBO’s latest powerhouse original series with Pedro Pascal winning some hardware already for his lead actor job in the first season. It was a great series all around, and it should get the win here.

Pick: Best New Series – The Last of Us (+100) at BetOnline


Other categories

While BetOnline only has 4 betting markets available, here are a few other thoughts on which shows should win awards in the television category based on what we’ve observed from other award shows this season.

  • Best Drama Series: This should be a lock for HBO’s final season of Succession, which ended on such a high note.
  • Best Comedy Series: Hulu’s had a major hit with The Bear, and season 2 was even miles better than the first season. It has already been sweeping award shows and should add another win here.
  • Best Limited Series: Likewise, Beef has dominated the limited series categories as it should given how fantastic it was on Netflix last year. An easy call here.
  • Best Episodic Drama: You could have chosen multiple episodes from the final season of Succession, but “Kill List” is a strong choice for the one where the Roy family tries to make a deal with Lukas Matsson (Alexander Skarsgård).
  • Best Episodic Comedy: “Fishes” is the frantic, 66-minute long family Christmas episode of The Bear, and you can take it to the bank this will win.

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Scott Kacsmar
NFL football picks are Scott Kacsmar's expertise, serving as his main focus. He has contributed to various sports websites and blogs, such as NBC Sports, ESPN Insider, FiveThirtyEight, and, JoeWager. Originating from Pittsburgh, Scott maintains a love-hate connection with the Pirates.

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