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Picture a scenario where Elon Musk, the CEO of Tesla, and Mark Zuckerberg, the CEO of Meta (formerly known as Facebook), shed their formal attire and step into a fighting ring to resolve their conflicts through a Mixed Martial Arts (MMA) match. This may seem like a scene straight out of a Hollywood movie set in Silicon Valley, but it is a real-life beef that could unfold in the cage.
Surprisingly, what started as a friendly exchange on X (Formerly Twitter) has now taken an intriguing turn, capturing the attention of both the general public and sports betting platforms. Top offshore sportsbooks such as Bovada (Visit our Bovada Review to learn more) or BetOnline (Visit our BetOnline Review to learn more) have some interesting props available.
Zuckerberg vs. Musk: Moneyline Odds Reality
Over the course of multiple years, these two prominent figures in the technology industry have found themselves in disagreement. In June, they appeared to have reached an agreement to confront each other in an MMA bout. However, by August, Zuckerberg expressed his belief that Musk was not genuinely committed to the fight and stated that it was necessary to shift focus to other matters.
However, as their sly digs at one another continue, bookmakers are confident the fight will surface, and we can find a range of betting markets to choose from. It’s important to attack these markets early because the prices we’re seeing now could inflate before the bout takes place.
Before we delve into the proposition betting value, we must first understand the current moneyline odds and why there’s such an evident discrepancy in the respective prices.
Why is Zuckerberg Favorite?
The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline
- Mark Zuckerberg Moneyline [-425]
- Elon Musk Moneyline [+325]
Zuckerberg has practiced Brazilian jiu-jitsu and succeeded in various featherweight white belt divisions in a tournament held in California. Furthermore, he’s actively trained with professional fighters in the striking realm of martial arts.
For these reasons, and despite having never competed in an amateur or pro-MMA bout, his BJJ background gives him a huge edge in expected win probability, as his combat sports experience is a significant advantage over Musk, whose only experience in fighting hasn’t gone beyond the realms of social media.
Picking a Winner
Immersed within a bubble of immense affluence, Musk has become excessively intoxicated by his own brilliance, thus erroneously assuming that his triumphs in the business realm will seamlessly translate into victory in a physical confrontation. Individuals accustomed to witnessing their wealth skyrocket effortlessly by billions are susceptible to the misguided belief that winning a fight will demand minimal exertion.
Simultaneously, Musk, like many affluent men, possesses an inherent desire to validate his worth in a manner that cannot be solely attributed to his monetary assets. While it may be pleasant to have life handed to you on a silver platter, this erodes the sense of genuine achievement that resides deep within us.
White Collar Brawler
Undoubtedly, Musk represents a wealthier (and less resilient) archetype: the White-Collar Brawler who haplessly stumbles into a boxing gym in pursuit of becoming a bona fide man.
Nevertheless, unlike the average stockbroker who dedicates their after-work hours to training for an amateur boxing match, embracing the honest path towards humility through black eyes, bruised lips, and the gradual realization of their limited skills, Musk will not reap any of these moral advantages.
In layman’s terms, there isn’t sufficient evidence that Musk owns a smidgen of fighting experience or has even trained in combat sports. On the other hand, although similar to Musk in certain aspects, Zuckerberg has at least garnered the experience of competitive fighting, and the odds should perhaps be even wider than we’re currently seeing.
Musk vs. Zuckerberg: The Only Prop Bets Worth Betting
- Zuckerberg by Submission +165
- Zuckerberg by KO/TKO +425
- Zuckerberg by Points +185
- Musk by Points +450
- Musk by KO/TKO +1200
- Musk by Submission +2200
The table above displays the prop bets available for the potential Musk vs. Zuckerberg MMA contest. However, the aforementioned factors surrounding Musk’s fighting experience, or lack of it, instantly damage his probability of winning – as displayed in the odds – let alone in a dominant fashion (e.g. KO/TKO or submission).
As a result, the only wagers holding value, from a logical perspective, include:
- Zuckerberg by Submission at +165
- Zuckerberg by KO/TKO at +425
- Zuckerberg by Points at +450
And the Winner Is…
Any of the above outcomes hold potential, and a KO/TKO victory for the Facebook CEO presents an interesting price at +425. After all, he’s trained with legitimate strikers in the gym.
However, given the size of Musk, a KO victory might be the most unobtainable path to success. This is why a Zuckerberg submission win holds the strongest potential.
Musk won’t have the cardio or conditioning level to handle the grappling exchanges of a jiu-jitsu practitioner. Sooner or later, Zuckerberg will find himself in an advantageous, grounded position. With no experience, Musk won’t know what submissions are coming before he eventually taps out to his BJJ white belt opponent.