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Up next for the Republicans is South….nope, not South Carolina. While South Carolina is garnering more attention from the media, that state’s date is not until February 24.
Before worrying about South Carolina, Republicans have to concern themselves with Nevada first. Let’s get into the relevant dates before exploring the meaningfulness of the upcoming events in Nevada in case you are looking to profit from the 2024 U.S. presidential elections at the best political betting sites.
It’s a complicated process and one that is not so important in the grand scheme of things, but it is happening, and it will yield insight, especially into Nikki Haley and Donald Trump‘s respective levels of support. So it is worth talking about.
The Nevada state-operated primary will take place on February 6. Two days later, on February 8, Nevada’s GOP will hold caucuses.
Primary vs. Caucus
It might not seem clear why there is both a primary and a caucus in Nevada. Democratic lawmakers are increasingly calling for the election process to be formalized into holding only primary elections and doing away with caucuses.
But for now, we have both a primary and a caucus.
Nevada used to just hold a caucus, but there were various issues with the voting procedure in 2020, that led to a change being made. Now the state is also required to hold primary elections.
Nevada wanted to become more relevant in this voting process and succeeded in the sense that it moved its primary date up to February 6. The primary election is what you normally think of as far as elections go.
Voters will go to a specified polling location where they will cast one vote for whichever candidate they choose to vote for. The results of each precinct within the state are reported, tallied, and announced. A state-wide winner is then declared.
Caucuses operate differently, however, as we learned in Iowa.
While there is a winner here, the format preceding the declaration of a winner is unique to caucuses. There is something like a meeting, where debates take place. Candidates debate for their political party.
Whereas people cast votes that are tallied for a primary, for the caucus, delegates are tallied up and assigned to a candidate.
Candidates want to collect the most delegates – the candidate that collects the most delegates will be named the nominee, so the Republican candidate will need approximately 1,215 delegates.
Registered Republicans are permitted to vote for both the primary and the caucus, although the voting procedure for the caucus is significantly more time-consuming. It is rather a piece of labor for voters.
Trump told his supporters in Nevada that, while this state holds both a primary and a caucus, it’s their caucus vote that matters, notwithstanding the added effort required by the caucus voting procedure.
While the state now also has to hold a primary election, the Republican Party still determines how delegates are assigned.
Trump is right that it’s the caucus that matters because the Republican Party will use the Nevada caucuses to assign the 26 delegates.
Two Different Ballots
The focus right now in this process of determining who the Republican presidential nominee right now is on the ongoing battle between heavy favorite Donald Trump and Nikki Haley, who is his most significant challenger – although, as Trump rightly thinks, she doesn’t stand a chance.
While these two are battling each other to become their party’s presidential nominee, they won’t be competing directly against each other in Nevada.
Instead, they will appear on two different ballots.
Trump will not appear on the primary ballot, something that is sure to perplex Nevada voters. Meanwhile, Haley will appear on it. She has not explained why, but for whatever reason she has chosen the primary ballot.
Along with Haley, Tim Scott and Mike Pence will appear on this ballot.
The Nevada Republican presidential primary has long been fraught with conflict over the prospect of holding two contests in one week, two days apart, with different outcomes.
Now, many voters are signaling that they’re confused — and angry. https://t.co/lZelSFCeY3
— NBC News (@NBCNews) February 2, 2024
So, her victory would be meaningless because the primary won’t give her delegates and because she isn’t competing head-to-head against Trump.
Trump’s name will, instead, appear on the caucus ballot, alongside Ryan Binkley, who is the only other name that will appear on the caucus ballot, since Vivek Ramaswamy, Chris Christie, Doug Burgum, and Ron DeSantis have dropped out.
Aided by his allies’ control over the state, who have employed measures such as voter ID law to help his chances, he is thought very likely to sweep Nevada’s available delegates.
Still, Trump would remain far from clinching the nomination, as he has so many more delegates to collect.