Home Politics Super Tuesday 2024 – What to Know for This Year

Super Tuesday 2024 – What to Know for This Year

by Scott Kacsmar
0 comment
Voting Sign

Super Tuesday is all set to go down on March 5, 2024. A total of 15 states plus one U.S. territory will hold primaries and caucuses to help decide how many delegates candidates for the Republican and Democratic parties will receive as they look toward November’s general election.

Incumbent Joe Biden does not expect any real challenge to his bid for reelection in the Democratic party. Donald Trump can perhaps deliver a deathblow to Nikki Haley’s campaign with a dominant Super Tuesday performance among Republican voters.

We have all the information you need on what to expect from Super Tuesday 2024.

Why Do They Call It Super Tuesday?

A term that goes back to 1976 in politics, it was really in 1984 that political pundits and journalists started referring to a “Super Tuesday” during primary election season. This was the term created to describe the Tuesday, usually in February or March, when the largest number of states hold their primary or caucus to vote on their party’s nominee for the upcoming election in November.

There has been a Super Tuesday in every election since 1984, and some have even had what were considered 4 different Super Tuesdays in the same year. As many as 24 states have participated in a single Super Tuesday before, but the number is usually closer to the 15 we see this year.

It is “Super” in the sense that no one has had a poor showing on a Super Tuesday and ever gone on to win their party’s nomination.

Who Votes on Super Tuesday in 2024?

The following 15 states from a variety of regions will hold a vote on Super Tuesday, which is March 5, 2024:

  • Alabama
  • Alaska
  • Arkansas
  • California
  • Colorado
  • Maine
  • Massachusetts
  • Minnesota
  • North Carolina
  • Oklahoma
  • Tennessee
  • Texas
  • Utah
  • Vermont
  • Virginia

The American Samoa territory will also hold its primary. Also, Iowa is going to host its Democratic caucus on Super Tuesday. The Republicans already held the Iowa caucuses on January 15, which was the first event in this primary season.

Roughly 36% of the delegates in the Republican primaries will be decided on this Super Tuesday.

Who Is Leading?

So far, Donald Trump has swept Nikki Haley 6-0 in the 6 primaries and caucuses already held, including a win in Michigan on Tuesday night and a win in Haley’s home state of South Carolina over the weekend.

Trump currently has an estimate of 119 delegates to 22 for Haley. There will be 874 delegates up for grabs on Super Tuesday. A candidate needs 1,215 delegates to clinch the party’s nomination at the Republican National Convention this summer.

That means even if Trump swept Super Tuesday, he still wouldn’t have enough delegates to clinch. But with more primaries to come after Super Tuesday, it could just be a matter of time.

As for the Democratic side, the incumbent usually is not opposed during primary season. President Joe Biden has received 82.7% of the popular vote in the 4 contests held so far, though he did see 13.3% of Michigan voters on Tuesday night choose “Uncommitted” as a protest vote against him.

But with more than 8 months to go before November’s election, Biden has no real threat of not being the candidate for his party again.

Current Odds

According to election odds at the top politics betting sites, Trump is holding strong with an 89.9% chance of winning the GOP nomination. He is also favored at 50.7% to win the presidency in November, beating out Biden (31.7%), former First Lady Michelle Obama (4.6%), and California Governor Gavin Newsom (2.6%).

Keep in mind that neither Obama nor Newsom has announced a run this year. Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is at just 1.5% odds to win the presidency.

Following a big win in Michigan on Tuesday, Trump has jumped to 76.5% in the polling data compared to just 16.6% for Haley.

CandidatePartyBetOnlineBetAnySportsBookmakerBovadaEverygameHeritage Sports
Donald TrumpRepublican-105-125-104+110N/AN/A
Joe BidenDemocrat-105-110+114+120N/AN/A
Michelle ObamaDemocrat+2200+2000+2750+2500N/AN/A
Robert Kennedy Jr.Independent+2200+2200+2800+3000N/A+1400
Gavin NewsomDemocrat+3300+3000+5300+4500N/AN/A
Kamala HarrisDemocrat+3300+3300+6500+7000N/AN/A
Any Other Party+2900

What to Expect on Super Tuesday in 2024

If the polls are correct, Super Tuesday could be a deafening blow to Nikki Haley’s campaign. She has not beat Trump in any state yet, and she even lost her home state of South Carolina on Saturday. Sure, she got a higher share of the vote (39.5%) than expected, but it was still a big loss by historical standards in that state during primary season.

A 15-0 sweep by Trump on Super Tuesday could be the final wake-up call for Haley that there is no path to victory that doesn’t involve Trump choking on a chicken bone hidden in that piece of extra crispy from KFC.

Even if Haley persists to hang around after a rough Super Tuesday, it should be curtains soon as 161 delegates are up for grabs in 4 states on March 12, and another 350 delegates are available a week later in 5 states, including Florida.

By that time, Trump should get to 1,215 delegates, clinching the nomination. But we will just have to see if Super Tuesday has any upsets or hope left for Haley as 15 states, including big ones in California and Texas, will have their say.

author avatar
Scott Kacsmar
NFL football picks are Scott Kacsmar's expertise, serving as his main focus. He has contributed to various sports websites and blogs, such as NBC Sports, ESPN Insider, FiveThirtyEight, and, JoeWager. Originating from Pittsburgh, Scott maintains a love-hate connection with the Pirates.

You may also like

JoeWager is your leading source for trending topics relevant to offshore gamblers, including betting resources, sports & casino guides, entertainment topics, politics and more.

Editors' Picks

Latest Articles

Copyright 2023 – All Right Reserved.

This website uses cookies to improve your experience. We'll assume you're ok with this, but you can opt-out if you wish. Accept Read More